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Geology

Corn ethanol and other first-generation biofuels are a clean, climate-friendly alternative to fossil fuels.

Now we know:

Life-cycle analysis found that corn ethanol produced comparable or greater greenhouse gas emissions than gasoline when land-use change was included. The biofuel mandate drove up global food prices and contributed to food insecurity in developing nations.

Disproven 2008

What changed?

The logic of biofuels seemed straightforward in 2007. Plants absorb carbon dioxide as they grow; burn the fuel refined from those plants, and you release that same carbon back, a closed cycle, unlike burning ancient fossil fuels that release carbon sequestered for millions of years. Corn ethanol, blended into gasoline at filling stations across the Midwest, was presented in environmental education as a practical step toward reducing transportation emissions. The Energy Independence and Security Act, signed into law in December 2007, mandated 36 billion gallons of renewable fuel by 2022, with corn ethanol forming the foundation of the target.

The life-cycle analysis told a different story. In February 2008, two papers published in Science, one by Timothy Searchinger and colleagues, another by Joseph Fargione and colleagues, examined what happened when the full chain was included. Growing corn for ethanol required land. That land had previously been in other uses: forests, grasslands, cropland growing food. Converting land to energy crops released enormous stores of carbon held in soil and vegetation. When these land-use-change emissions were included in the calculation, corn ethanol was not carbon-neutral, in Searchinger’s analysis, it would take more than 160 years of biofuel use to repay the carbon debt from land conversion.

The food consequences were equally unwelcome. The corn ethanol mandate diverted a substantial fraction of US corn production from food to fuel. Global food prices, already rising due to population growth and drought in key producing regions, spiked sharply in 2007 and 2008. The UN Food and Agriculture Organization identified biofuel expansion as a contributing factor in the food crisis that sparked civil unrest across more than thirty countries. The clean-energy alternative had helped price staple grains out of reach for the world’s poorest consumers.

Second-generation biofuels, made from agricultural waste, dedicated energy grasses grown on marginal land, or algae, could avoid the worst of these problems in principle. But they remained largely unscalable through the late 2000s. Cellulosic ethanol, which featured prominently in the 2007 energy act’s mandate, never reached projected volumes; the technical and economic barriers proved more stubborn than advocates had hoped. The biofuel episode was not evidence that renewable energy was impossible, but that a solution ignoring indirect effects, land use, food systems, global supply chains, can cause as much harm as the problem it addresses.

E85 ethanol fuel pump dispenser at a gas station in Washington D.C.
An E85 ethanol fuel pump at a Washington D.C. gas station in 2009. Corn ethanol, promoted as a climate-friendly alternative to gasoline, was later found to produce similar or higher lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions once land-use change is accounted for. · Mariordo (Mario Roberto Duran Ortiz) - CC BY-SA 3.0

At a glance

Disproven
2008
Taught in schools
2007

Sources

  1. [1] Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land-Use Change - Searchinger, T. et al., 2008
  2. [2] Land Clearing and the Biofuel Carbon Debt - Fargione, J. et al., 2008
  3. [3] Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 - US Congress, 2007